House hunters have the upper hand, allowing them to abandon deals over price, repairs or second thoughts. Cancellations are most common in Tampa and San Antonio, where there are roughly twice as many sellers as buyers.
More than 42,000 U.S. home-sale agreements fell through in February, equal to 13.7% of homes that went under contract that month. That’s up from 12.8% a year earlier, and the highest February share in records dating back to 2017.
This is based on a Redfin analysis of MLS pending-sales data. The data is seasonal; typically, there’s a higher share of cancellations at the end of the year and a lower share in the spring. That’s why we compare this February to past Februarys. Please note: Homes that fell out of contract during a given month didn’t necessarily go under contract that same month. This data is subject to revision.
Nearly one of every seven homebuying deals are falling through largely because buyers are in the driver’s seat. There are hundreds of thousands more home sellers than buyers in the country, a near-record gap that gives buyers options and negotiating power. A buyer may back out of a contract during the inspection period if they see a home they like better or an issue comes up that they don’t want to repair–or they might just change their mind, confident that there are a lot of other homes on the market that fit their criteria.
“Homes are falling out of contract left and right,” said Juan Castro, a Redfin Premier agent in Orlando. “Sometimes buyers make an offer but never send the deposit because they get nervous, sometimes they revisit numbers with lenders and don’t feel comfortable with the monthly payments, and other times they use a minor inspection issue as an excuse to back out. I’m also seeing buyers negotiate aggressively–for instance, maybe they ask for a brand-new roof because three shingles are missing on an otherwise perfectly good roof–then cancel the deal if the seller says no.”
House hunters are also feeling jittery because of economic and geopolitical uncertainty. Many Americans are concerned about job security, inflation, the Iran war, and other world events that can make their finances feel shaky. Those things are also causing mortgage-rate volatility; some buyers who made an offer when rates were near a four-year low in February may have suddenly faced a higher rate when it came time to lock it in.
Contract Cancellations Are Most Common in Tampa, San Antonio and Other Big-Time Buyer’s Markets
In Tampa, FL, 18.1% of home-purchase agreements were canceled in February, the highest share of the 47 major U.S. metros Redfin analyzed. It’s followed by four other southern metros: San Antonio (17.9%), Atlanta (17.9%), Jacksonville, FL (17.5%) and Fort Worth, TX (17.3%).
All five of those are buyer’s markets. In Tampa, for instance, there are 84% more home sellers than buyers, and in San Antonio there are more than twice as many sellers as buyers. That allows buyers to back out of one deal and fairly easily move on to the next one.
On the flip side, contract cancellations are least common in the Bay Area. In San Francisco, just 3.7% of deals fell through in February, the lowest share among the metros. Next come Nassau County, NY (4.5%), San Jose, CA (5.4%), Milwaukee (7.5%) and Oakland, CA (7.7%).
Nassau County and Milwaukee are two of just five seller’s markets in the U.S.; buyers in those places are rarely backing out because if they do, they may not find another home quickly.
Cancellations Increased Most in Southern California
Contract cancellations rose most in Los Angeles, to 15% in February from 12.1% a year earlier. Next come Virginia Beach, VA, where 14.7% of contracts were cancelled, up from 11.9%, and Boston (10.8%, up from 8.2%).
Riverside, CA (16.9%, up from 14.4%) and Baltimore (13.3%, up from 10.9%) round out the top five.
| Metro-Level Summary: Canceled Home-Purchase Agreements, February 2026
47 of the most populous U.S. metro areas Redfin analyze the 50 most populous U.S. metros and included the 47 with sufficient data |
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| U.S. metro area | Feb. 2026: Pending sales that fell out of contract, as % of overall pending sales | Feb. 2025: Pending sales that fell out of contract, as % of overall pending sales |
| Anaheim, CA | 12.4 % | 12.4% |
| Atlanta, GA | 17.9% | 16.1% |
| Austin, TX | 13.3% | 12.2% |
| Baltimore, MD | 13.3% | 10.9% |
| Boston, MA | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Chicago, IL | 12.6% | 12.3% |
| Cincinnati, OH | 11.3% | 13.2% |
| Cleveland, OH | 16.4% | 16.2% |
| Columbus, OH | 16.5% | 14.4% |
| Dallas, TX | 15.5% | 13.6 % |
| Denver, CO | 14.5% | 14.8% |
| Detroit, MI | 16.6% | 15.8% |
| Fort Lauderdale, FL | 17.1% | 15.4% |
| Fort Worth, TX | 17.3% | 15.8 % |
| Houston, TX | 15.4% | 13.4% |
| Indianapolis, IN | 12.8% | 13.6% |
| Jacksonville, FL | 17.5% | 16.3% |
| Las Vegas, NV | 16.3% | 14.8% |
| Los Angeles, CA | 15.0% | 12.1 % |
| Miami, FL | 14.1% | 12.9% |
| Milwaukee, WI | 7.5% | 8.8% |
| Minneapolis, MN | 9.5% | 8.1% |
| Montgomery County, PA | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Nashville, TN | 13.1% | 10.8% |
| Nassau County, NY | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| New Brunswick, NJ | 11.3% | 10.5% |
| New York, NY | 7.9% | 8.6% |
| Newark, NJ | 8.7% | 8.7% |
| Oakland, CA | 7.7% | 7.0 % |
| Orlando, FL | 17.0% | 16.1% |
| Philadelphia, PA | 11.9% | 11.8% |
| Phoenix, AZ | 16.7% | 15.8% |
| Pittsburgh, PA | 12.7% | 12.2% |
| Portland, OR | 14.8% | 15.4% |
| Providence, RI | 12.5% | 11.1% |
| Riverside, CA | 16.9% | 14.4 % |
| Sacramento, CA | 12.8% | 12.9% |
| San Antonio, TX | 17.9% | 17.0% |
| San Diego, CA | 13.8% | 12.0% |
| San Francisco, CA | 3.7% | 3.3% |
| San Jose, CA | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Seattle, WA | 9.3% | 8.0% |
| Tampa, FL | 18.1% | 16.2 % |
| Virginia Beach, VA | 14.7% | 11.9% |
| Warren, MI | 12.7% | 11.3 % |
| Washington, DC | 11.4% | 10.9% |
| West Palm Beach, FL | 13.2% | 10.9% |
| National—U.S.A. | 13.7% | 12.8% |
