:max_bytes(150000):strip_icc()/GettyImages-2256813198-ed8733a91060425496ef42e38651ee70.jpg "Here’s How Much Traders Expect Palantir Stock to Move After Earnings Monday")
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Key Takeaways
- Palantir stock is expected to make more big moves by the end of the week after reporting earnings on Monday.
- Revenue is expected to keep growing to record highs, but that wasn’t enough to keep the stock rising last quarter amid concerns about valuation.
Palantir Technologies is slated to post fourth-quarter results after Monday’s closing bell, with traders expecting another big swing following the report.
Based on current options pricing, Palantir (PLTR) stock is expected to move at least 9% by the end of next week. At the high end, that would put the stock around $158 based on Friday’s close near $147. At the low end, the shares could fall to around $133, which would put them in the red this year; the stock hasn’t finished a session in the $130s since July.
Software stocks such as Palantir have had a rough start to the year. AI investors have shifted more attention to hardware makers and chip stocks; Palantir is nearly 30% off the record highs set in the run-up to last quarter’s report in early November.
Why This Matters to Investors
Palantir stock was a major winner of 2025 as the software maker was touted by analysts as a “best-in-class AI enabler.” However, concerns that the stock had become overvalued have pressured shares in recent weeks.
Palantir is expected to report record fourth-quarter revenue of $1.34 billion, along with adjusted earnings per share of $0.23. Both numbers would be up more than 60% year-over-year, per Visible Alpha estimates.
The company topped estimates in its previous quarterly report in November, but shares tumbled in the days that followed amid concerns that the stock’s 2025 rally left the government contractor overvalued. Shares surged some 135% in 2025, but have moved lower to start this year amid concerns that AI enthusiasm has inflated Palantir and other firms’ valuations.
Analysts are somewhat divided on Palantir stock, with the nine analysts with current ratings tracked by Visible Alpha roughly split between four “buy” and five “hold” ratings.
The average price target of those ratings, however, is around $189, as analysts see Palantir stock with some room to run some 30% higher—and past the record highs it set in November.
