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Happy Tuesday. This is TheStreet’s Stock Market Today for Dec. 30, 2025. You can follow the latest updates on the market here in our daily live blog.
Good morning. The dawn rises on the second to last trading day of 2025. This year has had its ups and downs, but this storied year will soon be history — and we aren’t just saying that.
Barring some meltdown of biblical proportions, the U.S. markets will have notched a third consecutive year of double-digit returns across the major indexes. And it might not be over, either. Our very own Charley Blaine digested some of the ‘big numbers’ of 2025 and polled over 20 leading financial analysts on their takes for 2026.
The analyst average sees another ‘historic’ year in the makings, even though it hasn’t begun. If another double-digit year of returns were to happen, it would be the first time that had happened since the period spanning 2003 to 2007 (famous for obvious reasons).
That level of bullishness might be a flashing red sign for some market hawks, especially as catalysts like Fed cuts, AI optimism, and earnings growth run into some headwinds. Mix in the still-tepid consumer backdrop and a healthy bit of the ‘great unknown’ and you can see why the recent rally could face its match. But for what it’s worth, none of those concerns panned out in 2025 — so perhaps the analysts might be ‘manifesting’ for more of what the last six months had in store.
We’ll ultimately have to cross that bridge and ring in the New Year when we get there, but we’ll take what we have right in front of us for the meantime. Down a few basis points in futures trading this morning, the major indexes could be looking at another day of declines. Stocks have backslid a bit from all-time highs since the Christmas Day holiday as the recent ‘tech rebound’ has struggled. 65.8% of stocks, or about 3,645 issues, declined on Monday.
(And despite earlier misconceptions (yes, my bad, my apologies to those who caught this one), the market will be open for two more full days — no half day on the 31st. That leaves us with a solid 13 more hours of trading, so lock in those gains and loss harvesting.)
Speaking of which, here’s a short bit on what’s coming up today:
Today will see a modest slate of economic data points, including the FOMC Minutes (2:00 p.m. ET) and Chicago PMI (9:45 a.m. ET), among others. Here’s what is on deck in econ land:
