Delayed BLS September Inflation Data Released

BLS Commentary:

CONSUMER PRICE INDEX – SEPTEMBER 2025

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in September, after rising 0.4 percent in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.0 percent before seasonal adjustment. Note that September CPI data collection was completed before the lapse in appropriations. The index for gasoline rose 4.1 percent in September and was the largest factor in the all items monthly increase, as the index for energy rose 1.5 percent over the month. The food index increased 0.2 percent over the month as the food at home index rose 0.3 percent and the food away from home index increased 0.1 percent. The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent in September, after rising 0.3 percent in each of the 2 preceding months. Indexes that increased over the month include shelter, airline fares, recreation, household furnishings and operations, and apparel. The indexes for motor vehicle insurance, used cars and trucks, and communication were among the few major indexes that decreased in September. The all items index rose 3.0 percent for the 12 months ending September, after rising 2.9 percent over the 12 months ending August. The all items less food and energy index also rose 3.0 percent over the last 12 months. The energy index increased 2.8 percent for the 12 months ending September. The food index increased 3.1 percent over the last year. 

Individual Components:

Looking at Table A below, we can see that on an annual basis, energy commodities and gasoline are down for the year but up sharply for the month. But Energy Services are up sharply for the year but down for the month.

The biggest gainers on an annual basis were Utility piped gas, Used Vehicles, and Medical Services.

Inflation Chart

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Monthly Inflation Compared to Previous Years:

The monthly inflation rate for September 2025 was 0.25%.

Rate of Change (ROC) Charts

Despite the recent rebound the NYSE ROC hasn’t recovered from the November Sell Signal.

NYSE Rate of Change

The NASDAQ ROC may have generated a Buy signal.