futures are transitioning from an expansionary momentum phase into a mean-reversion regime as defined by the VC PMI (Variable Price Momentum Indicator) framework. The recent price peak near $93.70 precisely aligned with the Daily Sell-1 VC PMI level, confirming statistical exhaustion rather than trend continuation. Within the VC PMI model, Sell-1 and Sell-2 levels represent extreme price deviations from the mean, where probability increasingly favors reversion rather than directional follow-through.
Following rejection from Sell-1, price has rotated back toward the Daily VC PMI Mean (~$90.57). This level acts as a short-term equilibrium zone where volatility often compresses before resolution. Below the mean, Daily Buy-1 ($87.57) and Daily Buy-2 ($83.65) define high-probability stabilization and accumulation zones, assuming the broader weekly structure remains intact.
On a higher timeframe, Weekly Sell-2 (~$88.23) and Weekly Sell-1 (~$83.78) serve as critical structural pivots. Sustained trade above the weekly VC PMI mean preserves the bullish intermediate-term regime, while deeper acceptance below Buy-2 would signal a transition into a lower price fractal.
Time Cycles and Market Phase Transition
VC PMI time-cycle analysis indicates Silver is entering a cycle convergence window, where price, momentum, and volatility align simultaneously. Historically, these windows mark transitions from impulse to consolidation or corrective phases rather than immediate trend reversal. Short-term daily cycles are rolling over, supporting corrective pressure, while intermediate-term cycles remain constructive, reinforcing a “buy-corrections-only” environment.
This cycle alignment increases the probability that pullbacks into Buy-1 and Buy-2 zones will attract responsive demand, particularly if momentum stabilizes near the VC PMI mean. Failure of time-cycle support would expose the market to a deeper rotational decline toward weekly composite levels.
Square Root (Square of 9) Geometry — Disclosure
Square Root (Square of 9) price geometry confirms the $93–$94 region as a major harmonic resistance node derived from angular progression, not linear price projection. Likewise, the $87–$84 region aligns with key square-root retracement angles, reinforcing these levels as mathematically significant support zones.
Square Root levels do not function independently; they serve as geometric confirmation when aligned with VC PMI levels and time cycles.
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Risk Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading futures and options involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Proper risk management and position sizing are essential.
