The crypto market strengthened its consolidation outlook as the year came to an end. The total value of the market has been oscillating within a 10% band for the last month. Bitcoin remains at the center of this flatness, posting only a 2% increase over the same period. Ethereum, on the other hand, continues to move within a falling channel despite a 6% increase over the last 30 days. Among high market-cap altcoins, XRP and DOGE have reached critical support levels amid low-volume trading. Both cryptocurrencies have declined by 7–8% over the past 30 days.
1. Ethereum Tests Critical Zone for Trend Reversal
On the ETH side, the broader picture remains defined by a structure in which, following the bullish channel seen during the summer months, selling pressure from the top has pushed price action into a clear falling channel. In recent days, the price has made upside attempts toward the upper band of this channel, but these moves have struggled to translate into sustained gains above the short-term averages (EMA 8/21). Therefore, even if the current structure produces a reactionary uptrend, a clearer breakout supported by stronger catalysts is required for a genuine trend reversal.
Fibonacci levels also provide meaningful reference points within this outlook. The $3,080 region, corresponding to the Fib 0.50 level, forms a critical threshold by overlapping with both resistance and the upper band of the falling channel. Higher up, the $3,370–3,480 band (3-month EMA value + Fib 0.382) acts as the second major resistance zone for a potential trend reversal. On the momentum side, the Stochastic RSI is turning upward but continues to show signs of weakness near resistance.
To summarize the key levels based on the daily Ethereum chart:
- Resistance levels: $3,080 (Fib 0.50), $3,370–3,480 range (EMA / Fib 0.382), $3,968 (Fib 0.236)
- Support levels: $2,680 (mid-band of the channel and Fib 0.618), $2,115 (Fib 0.786)
According to the current support and resistance structure, if ETH can achieve daily closes above $3,080 on the upside, a new momentum move toward $4,000 may develop depending on the strength of the breakout. Otherwise, if the cryptocurrency is once again rejected from the upper band of the channel, the $2,680 level is likely to come into focus as the next critical support. In the event of a deeper breakdown, a swing toward the $2,100 area—corresponding to the lower band of the channel—could occur.
2. DOGE Seeks Reaction: Eyes on $0.11 after Trend Breakout
DOGE’s weekly chart shows that as of November, the price broke below the rising trendline that had previously acted as support, shifting the structure toward a bearish outlook. This breakdown allowed DOGE to enter the price gap formed during the sharp decline in the week of October 6.
The Stochastic RSI has also been signaling oversold conditions for an extended period as the downtrend continues toward the $0.11 area. The combination of price approaching a critical support level (Fib 1.272) and the persistence of oversold momentum increases the probability of a short- to medium-term reaction.
Accordingly, if DOGE manages to find support while testing the $0.11 zone, it may begin to attempt a recovery toward $0.15. Regaining the $0.15 level in continuation could trigger renewed momentum toward the $0.18–0.20 range.
Conversely, a loss of the $0.11 level in the current downtrend could deepen bearish pressure, bringing support levels below $0.10 into focus over the medium term. As a result, weekly closes above $0.1137 have become increasingly important for any potential trend reversal in DOGE.
3. XRP Struggles to Hold on to Critical Weekly Support
XRP’s weekly outlook shows that the price remains below the descending trendline and continues to hover beneath the 8- and 21-week EMAs. This week, XRP is testing the main support zone that has held throughout the year. The area around $1.95 stands out as a key support level, aligning with the Fib 0.50 retracement and the 89-week EMA based on the recent rebound. If this support—so far preserved by weekly closes during the year—is lost, the probability of a move toward the Fib 0.618 support near $1.60 increases.
On the other hand, a weekly close above $1.95 has the potential to attract renewed buying interest. Such a move would likely be characterized as reactionary buying and could allow XRP to build momentum toward the $2.30 level and subsequently the $2.70 region in the days ahead.
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Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only. It is not intended to encourage the purchase of assets in any way, nor does it constitute a solicitation, offer, recommendation or suggestion to invest. I would like to remind you that all assets are evaluated from multiple perspectives and are highly risky, so any investment decision and the associated risk belongs to the investor. We also do not provide any investment advisory services.
