When Almost Nobody Can Afford Kids, Marriage, or a New Car—Has the “Middle Class” Just Disappeared?

If starting a family, buying a house, or just thinking about purchasing a car feels impossible—you’re definitely not alone. What used to define “middle class” feels further out of reach for Millennials and Gen Z than ever before. Rising costs, stagnant wages, and where you live all play huge roles in whether big life milestones feel doable—or merely like dreams. So has the middle class actually disappeared, or is it just morphing into something new? Let’s break down what’s really happening, and what it means for your financial future.

What It Used to Mean to Be “Middle Class”

Back in the post-WWII era, being middle class meant something clear and attainable– a steady job, a home you could afford on one income, being able to buy a new car, and the ability to raise a family without constant money stress. Pew Research defines the middle class as households earning about two-thirds to double the national median income, with the exact dollar figure depending on where you live.

While the definition has not changed over the years, the percentage of people in that economic class has dropped significantly over the years. Back in 1971, about 61% of Americans were part of the middle class. Fast forward to 2023, and that number’s dropped to just 51%, according to new analysis from the Pew Research Center. That’s a pretty big shift, which shows how much things have changed in recent decades.

Why Major Life Milestones Feel Out of Reach

Costs are the culprit, with today’s price tags making traditional milestones feel out of reach. The median U.S. single-family home price nearly tripled between just January 2012 and July 2025, jumping to $466,000 from $164,000.

The typical cost of raising a child has increased two and a half fold, rising from $165,630 in 2000 to $414,000 this year. Yet wages have lagged somewhat, increasing only 2.1 times (from 2000’s $29,744 to $62,712 as of June 2025, all in today’s dollars), seemingly stagnating as living expenses climbed multiple times over. Add in record student debt and skyrocketing healthcare costs, and it’s clear why many Millennials and Gen Zers feel locked out of the financial security once tied to the middle class.

The Geography of the Middle Class Is Shifting

Where you live plays a huge role in whether middle class still feels possible. Data shows the middle class has shrunk fastest along expensive coastal states and metropolitan areas, whereas many Midwest and rural areas have maintained levels of affordability.

For example, it is much more expensive to live in coastal states such as California or New York where a six-figure salary barely covers basics. In comparison, the same income can still support a family home and savings in Midwest states like Kentucky or Iowa. Where you live now helps define middle class status as much as income.

Is the Middle Class Shrinking—or Just Changing?

The Pew Research Center finds that the middle class now makes up a smaller share of households than it did a generation ago. But it’s not just about income brackets—it’s about the factors that affect how you feel about your standard of living. Rising costs of such things as groceries, utilities, and loans for homes and cars lower how people feel about their standard of living—and how far their money is stretching.

Many who technically qualify as middle class still feel squeezed by debt, housing costs, and financial stress. At the same time, technology, remote work, and gig income offer new ways to bridge the gap. However, many still question whether these changes offer real paths to stability or just temporary solutions to obtain middle class life.

 What This Means for Your Financial Plan

So, what does all this mean for your financial plan? It starts with adjusting expectations—budgeting more for housing, raising a family, and such things as education and cars. Building an emergency fund and avoiding lifestyle inflation are more important than ever.

Diversifying income streams through side hustles, remote work, or investments can create a cushion. Most importantly, set goals that reflect your income and standard of living for the area you live in, not generalized national benchmarks that may not reflect your real-world expenses as accurately if at all.

What Needs to Change?

While personal planning helps, real solutions require systemic change. Economists argue that expanding affordable housing, modernizing infrastructure, and improving education and workforce training can raise productivity and wages over time.

The Hoover Institution, along with other conservative think tanks, argue that less government intervention is best when it comes to growing the American economy– and implement policies that encourage business investment and support innovation of the private sector.

Think tanks like Brookings (widely viewed as centrist to liberal) and the Economic Policy Institute (widely viewed as liberal) argue that without coordinated action, the middle class will continue to erode—making affordability less about choices and more about structural barriers. Still, how to pay for those investments fuels sharp political debates.

The Bottom Line

The middle class may not be gone, but it looks much smaller than it once did. Rising costs, shifting geography, and lifestyle trade-offs have reshaped what financial security means for today’s families. Individuals can take steps to plan smarter, diversify income, and set realistic goals. The challenge, and opportunity, is redefining the middle class on terms that work for a new generation.